Euroleague · resolved market
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67a41eda8a8940b395ce7a159c51b9695e1657496723b2ab843a72d9c96b89ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jilin Northeast Tigersof Xinjiang Flying Tigers, Jilin Northeast Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,222 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 13c | 6,098$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.04 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 71c | 5,179$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.15 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 30c | 1,730$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.24 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 59c | 1,200$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 43c | 792.62$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.36 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 19c | 770.51$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.1 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 39c | 734.58$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.65 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 26c | 709.03$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.18 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 43c | 697$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.61 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 43c | 678$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.37 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 61c | 653.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 40c | 626.42$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.93 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 62c | 625.87$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 41c | 453.45$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.99 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 41c | 452$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.04 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 11c | 399.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.99 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 12c | 379$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.52 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 30c | 331.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 13c | 303.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 5c | 244.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 15cpaid | +364.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 22c | 227.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 45c | 203.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 13c | 192.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.49 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 26c | 191.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 71c | 181.62$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 41c | 179.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 52c | 177$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 60c | 167.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 13c | 158.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 29c | 151.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 38c | 136.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 65c | 125.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 16c | 117.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +310.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…ee42backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 15c | 96.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 67c | 94.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 33c | 78.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 44c | 74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 71c | 73.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 30c | 58.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 30c | 55.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 75c | 52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 22c | 50.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +355.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 40c | 49.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 58c | 44.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 65c | 33.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 62c | 32.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 39c | 30.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 69c | 17.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.