CS2 · resolved market
Will B8 qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9631e61c30f4408e789a37b92ed986e1d1bf41be7b485370cdbc11aa93f9570d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23b9…6447backed Yes | 22c | 1,554$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed No | 77c | 1,288$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 78c | 708$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…6487backed Yes | 23c | 627$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 22c | 535$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 78c | 527$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 22c | 510$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 78c | 366$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 78c | 337$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Yes | 7c | 226.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +582.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Yes | 17c | 144.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…2f09backed No | 44c | 113.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 12c | 112.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 77c | 104.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked No | 52c | 74.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 19c | 70.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…54dbbacked Yes | 43c | 59.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 21c | 52.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 56c | 42.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked Yes | 30c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…35dfbacked Yes | 46c | 32.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed No | 77c | 31.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…8ae5backed No | 79c | 15.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will B8 qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? this page
- Will 3DMAX qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? No won
- Will Alliance qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? No won
- Will BIG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes won
- Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes won
- Will HOTU qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? No won
- Will OG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? No won
- Will SINNERS Esports qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes won
- Will Team Liquid qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.