CS2 · resolved market
Will BIG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52fd140af510a2484b0e58533e6dbe90ec0e4ab011d1108ef91e890a26530b14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 78c | 519$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked No | 35c | 448.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.69 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked No | 46c | 223.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…2f09backed No | 80c | 222.48$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 7c | 202.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…54dbbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…9be8backed Yes | 22c | 178$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 22c | 171$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +199.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed Yes | 22c | 170$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +226.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 161.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Yes | 38c | 125.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 82.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b0…1c90backed No | 28c | 53.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Yes | 50c | 50.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 25c | 40.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 46c | 37.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…8602backed No | 49c | 36.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 54c | 28.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…2253backed No | 50c | 28.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…8ca9backed No | 49c | 24.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BIG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? this page
- Will 3DMAX qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? No won
- Will Alliance qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? No won
- Will B8 qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes won
- Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes won
- Will HOTU qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? No won
- Will OG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? No won
- Will SINNERS Esports qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes won
- Will Team Liquid qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.