NFL · resolved market

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079fd5cd4c762657700526c9c8066445c71be8277ff4978662905dcb3b9fda58

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 12, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $284,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $285,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,792 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4d75…74a5backed Yes	54c	17,762$9,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,642.89	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed No	64c	15,579$9,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,653.23	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes	37c	8,941$3,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,308.16	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked No	47c	7,151$3,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,790.05	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3311…12d9backed No	49c	6,149$3,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,136.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…3842backed No	35c	5,637$1,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,670.66	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	17cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa087…fb1ebacked No	47c	5,341$2,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,841.51	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…ede7backed Yes	56c	5,189$2,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,911.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ca…84acbacked No	46c	4,834$2,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,612.2	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes	53c	4,701$2,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,505.84	129	34.9%45 W · 84 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d4…adc0backed Yes	75c	3,364$2,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,534.53	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e9…e384backed Yes	54c	3,300$1,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,776.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes	54c	2,954$1,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,591.22	103	34%35 W · 68 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32e3…705abacked Yes	54c	2,867$1,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97cb…9efcbacked Yes	55c	2,732$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes	52c	2,703$1,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,401.06	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked No	47c	2,693$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,427.17	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No	43c	2,230$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,265.7	120	22.5%27 W · 93 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf687…fc1dbacked Yes	54c	2,200$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…da79backed No	46c	2,145$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,161.74	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+124.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7010…f522backed Yes	54c	2,038$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x046b…becebacked Yes	53c	2,000$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x411b…5e9fbacked Yes	54c	1,963$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…d337backed Yes	52c	1,929$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.85	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3413…2657backed Yes	54c	1,908$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.23	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.23per pick	36cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x844e…cf35backed Yes	54c	1,866$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e03…14ffbacked Yes	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc148…3c7ebacked Yes	56c	1,795$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd594…77ecbacked Yes	55c	1,579$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3d…4886backed Yes	54c	1,555$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6980…5b43backed Yes	31c	1,547$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617e…c27ebacked Yes	54c	1,464$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc615…2686backed Yes	72c	1,383$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.72per pick	72cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79a5…6a63backed Yes	36c	1,320$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.19	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e5…03bdbacked Yes	55c	1,277$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb28…bd69backed Yes	58c	1,257$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.01	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7222…0dcabacked No	42c	1,214$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.06	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a1…db5fbacked Yes	54c	1,207$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb0…d415backed Yes	57c	1,139$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6efc…7ec1backed Yes	54c	1,082$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7901…35d0backed Yes	54c	1,042$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06e0…20edbacked Yes	54c	1,040$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2c…7cc8backed Yes	54c	1,026$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed No	28c	1,000$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	67	34.3%23 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc485…0b43backed Yes	54c	970$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaabf…4b93backed Yes	55c	895.94$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x188d…99fabacked Yes	54c	885$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a62…252abacked Yes	54c	870$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d79…04d3backed Yes	54c	864.1$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.82	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa496…0f2abacked Yes	54c	850$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd953…885fbacked Yes	54c	840$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x569e…67dbbacked Yes	52c	800$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb883…8c7dbacked Yes	54c	800$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7e…6310backed Yes	54c	780$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…2155backed Yes	54c	770$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x687c…5dc9backed Yes	55c	748.21$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb3…8234backed Yes	54c	735.63$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f47…6ab0backed Yes	54c	716.9$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x716f…7ed3backed Yes	70c	714.86$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e29…1016backed Yes	54c	710$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1724…fc81backed Yes	34c	708.76$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6724…e93ebacked Yes	54c	700$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bbc…e9c1backed Yes	72c	695.18$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…a328backed Yes	54c	667$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed Yes	54c	650$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cde…0553backed Yes	74c	642.82$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.57	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe354…febdbacked Yes	53c	641.1$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x798f…b6acbacked Yes	37c	635$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.95	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed No	26c	632$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.68	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc701…920ebacked Yes	55c	621.46$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+89%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7012…14a4backed Yes	70c	600$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe58e…43e7backed Yes	59c	589.56$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.03	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes	44c	582.23$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.44	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No	28c	547.79$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.05	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc34…f0d7backed No	47c	546.04$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+114.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f5…3535backed Yes	55c	541.53$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…f3a8backed Yes	54c	540$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Yes	61c	500$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa167…ca0bbacked Yes	54c	500$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4871…3655backed Yes	54c	500$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x140b…bcd7backed No	66c	495.45$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.45	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	42c	495.18$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.99	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-39%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed No	46c	486.51$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.71	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	47c	485.8$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.54	104	42.3%44 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa453…1eb4backed No	48c	483.56$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.45	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e3…5811backed Yes	54c	480$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa63b…8535backed Yes	54c	465.4$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5071…5522backed Yes	54c	461.18$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ea…9130backed Yes	55c	456.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed No	47c	427.72$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.74	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371b…7704backed No	47c	427.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.19	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+113.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab57…842bbacked Yes	54c	400$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17d5…95a6backed Yes	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5434…41e0backed Yes	55c	360.13$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.35	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb253…6b67backed Yes	73c	354.4$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ee…4c4fbacked No	47c	334.69$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.72	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.31per pick	46cpaid	+52.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a0f…4cbdbacked Yes	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdb6…b0b6backed Yes	54c	311.84$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a7…3632backed Yes	72c	302.75$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.72per pick	72cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	66c	299$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.34	52	76.9%40 W · 12 L	+8.7wins	+0.17per pick	60cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?this page
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?Yes won
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LVIII?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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