NFL · resolved market
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fd9ad6db40be7a9739483aec9d54dc37b2c88f30eeea9ab5491bb0823d0f792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $419,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a85…7905backed Yes | 46c | 87,855$40,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,306.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 54c | 33,330$17,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,959.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Yes | 47c | 25,188$11,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,341.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed Yes | 47c | 23,588$11,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,473.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 52c | 21,396$11,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,187.97 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 55c | 14,428$7,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,931.43 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…d059backed Yes | 48c | 10,502$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…becebacked No | 53c | 10,307$5,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Yes | 46c | 10,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,360 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…581ebacked Yes | 50c | 9,999$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 53c | 8,189$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.02 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…22e6backed Yes | 47c | 7,885$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…ccbfbacked No | 53c | 6,895$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…f7ccbacked No | 54c | 5,562$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…fb1ebacked Yes | 47c | 5,274$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…9e1ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,244$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…6093backed Yes | 47c | 3,386$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 55c | 2,978$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.42 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6699…4dfdbacked No | 70c | 2,724$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…a0a0backed Yes | 47c | 2,279$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…8de7backed Yes | 47c | 2,187$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8352…d51abacked Yes | 47c | 2,177$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…4c4fbacked Yes | 47c | 2,161$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x716f…7ed3backed Yes | 19c | 2,148$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa4…5bc6backed Yes | 47c | 2,130$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 36c | 2,114$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…9aafbacked Yes | 47c | 2,114$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…330dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…4a48backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…6ef6backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…bd69backed Yes | 41c | 1,928$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4f…23fcbacked Yes | 47c | 1,884$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…78e1backed No | 54c | 1,870$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc485…0b43backed Yes | 46c | 1,797$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 77c | 1,755$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.93 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed Yes | 33c | 1,750$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…7cc8backed Yes | 47c | 1,688$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…a9fbbacked Yes | 46c | 1,645$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf687…fc1dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,625$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…04d3backed Yes | 46c | 1,596$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dba…b40ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,561$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…f3a8backed Yes | 46c | 1,536$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7222…0dcabacked Yes | 45c | 1,513$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…d90dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…2155backed Yes | 46c | 1,407$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…c024backed Yes | 46c | 1,368$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 19c | 1,361$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…9c7abacked Yes | 46c | 1,321$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…0dfbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,315$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…e554backed Yes | 47c | 1,302$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.99 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…207dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,300$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 58c | 1,285$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.1 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0530…d8febacked Yes | 47c | 1,266$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b9…0e25backed Yes | 32c | 1,186$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…920ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +89%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…d066backed Yes | 47c | 1,075$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617e…c27ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,070$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…06eabacked Yes | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…0d32backed Yes | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…f013backed Yes | 47c | 1,054$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…9ab5backed Yes | 48c | 1,044$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…db5fbacked Yes | 47c | 966.4$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…e93ebacked Yes | 46c | 925.63$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411b…5e9fbacked Yes | 46c | 920$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7901…35d0backed Yes | 47c | 897.1$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…9a45backed Yes | 52c | 885.23$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032f…1fcabacked Yes | 47c | 880$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…37acbacked Yes | 47c | 880$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…95a6backed Yes | 19c | 874.73$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…885fbacked Yes | 46c | 873.6$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 25c | 863.22$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.56 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…8234backed Yes | 47c | 853.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…5cd5backed Yes | 47c | 845.46$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…99fabacked Yes | 46c | 840.3$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…19eabacked Yes | 46c | 831.93$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…d826backed Yes | 47c | 830.11$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cc…a9a2backed Yes | 46c | 819.66$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7619…2c10backed Yes | 50c | 800.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…0ae0backed Yes | 47c | 780.13$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee3…1069backed Yes | 49c | 771.06$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…4886backed Yes | 46c | 770$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…e452backed Yes | 76c | 754.81$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.48 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…55ecbacked Yes | 47c | 732.37$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…d391backed Yes | 68c | 732.35$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…1016backed Yes | 46c | 701.71$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Yes | 11c | 700$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…a82fbacked Yes | 47c | 693.55$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…3655backed Yes | 46c | 690$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…20edbacked Yes | 46c | 668.3$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…e384backed Yes | 46c | 662.2$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…705abacked Yes | 47c | 660$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…d101backed Yes | 46c | 647.7$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…cf41backed Yes | 47c | 636.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 54c | 627$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.31 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…8535backed Yes | 47c | 620.86$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x940d…3bb7backed Yes | 29c | 613.1$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +491%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…25c2backed Yes | 47c | 607.41$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…0f2abacked Yes | 46c | 605.1$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?this page
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LVIII?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.