La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc46fab8e0eb0ca14003d1e971d3e3632ea0df213700f0fe652fb7989a2dc1044
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athletic Clubof Club Atlético de Madrid, Athletic Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 5,504$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.45 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletic Club | 77c | 3,026$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.09 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Athletic Club | 75c | 2,965$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.25 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 2,077$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Athletic Club | 73c | 1,589$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.14 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Athletic Club | 75c | 1,080$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 884.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Athletic Club | 72c | 712.21$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.42 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 683.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Athletic Club | 73c | 657.8$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 642.42$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 20c | 626.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 573$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Athletic Club | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 400.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletic Club | 76c | 388.5$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Athletic Club | 74c | 220.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 8c | 190.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 168.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…26fdbacked Athletic Club | 12c | 159.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +448.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Athletic Club | 75c | 154$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Athletic Club | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 142.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 126.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 125.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 36c | 124.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 95.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 95.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…597fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 22c | 92.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 36c | 67.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Athletic Club | 23c | 66.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Athletic Club | 75c | 54.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Athletic Club | 77c | 52.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 272 | 57.7%157 W · 115 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…aa81backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 32c | 50.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 43.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Athletic Club | 70c | 34.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Athletic Club | 33c | 32.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…2548backed Athletic Club | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…4d8cbacked Athletic Club | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked Athletic Club | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Athletic Club | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 91 | 63.7%58 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Athletic Club | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Athletic Club | 77c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.