TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,169 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes23c16,957$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes24c12,593$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c10,612$8,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.372,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes12c5,317$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.796,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes14c3,893$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.861,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes14c2,765$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No77c2,749$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.2415255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed No77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes24c2,177$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.52326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes23c2,082$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.8926444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4607959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes13c1,846$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.679246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No77c1,715$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.4527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No77c1,708$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8410765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No77c1,558$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.447557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes23c1,305$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.155242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No77c1,300$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29917062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No77c1,295$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8314652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No76c1,206$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.431471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No77c1,160$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.7941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes23c980.19$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed Yes23c890$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes14c853$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2629250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No77c800$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18413855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No76c726.13$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes12c667.61$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5125348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes13c594.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2816053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No77c584$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.327361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8662…958dbacked Yes15c541.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes5c522.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6780%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes14c511$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5424052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes14c438.69$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004850%24 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004734%16 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes14c413.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.418352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c411.94$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Yes5c405.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e82…af92backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No76c399.96$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9913554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Yes24c378.63$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.872133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No76c366.28$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.259247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No77c342.38$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.935941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…2e23backed Yes16c318.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502119%4 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e1…ee29backed No78c301.28$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4791…02b4backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No77c272.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.051,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes14c251.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.228037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No77c249.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3333551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c245.3$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.421,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No76c240$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.651847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes23c221.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0617337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-70%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c216.03$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes23c208.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4835428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No77c199.33$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8522645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes8c196.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c189.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5838233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Yes23c166.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.23933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.514654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No77c149.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c149$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7432…9207backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222c…0772backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ac…d211backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…d15ebacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Yes24c120.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No77c120$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b6…bca1backed No77c119.48$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f5…45d6backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No77c103.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.97252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2412562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2315738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310838.9%42 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2319834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No77c90.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.891,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb99d…e4e5backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes23c86.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95540%22 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ba…e6b7backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes14c80.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3139555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No77c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0668942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No76c77.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0910252%53 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.17647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b1…b470backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33b3…e861backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No79c60.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.846056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Yes23c60.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.843638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No76c59.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.416454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes23c58.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137357.5%42 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33ca…f810backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123636.1%13 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.