Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4dd90b21a21c5c0897c57e5809f0a5419f7bba4f0dcd6908203029eccd399d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 2,408$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 1,348$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 1,099$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.66 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 873.7$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.29 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 357$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 252$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 69.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 49c | 63.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 57.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 52.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 23.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 22.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2562…72a9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 21.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…ac06backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 19.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-14.5)this page
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 155.5Under won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.