NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38280b6e119149d1c3ee0d2b5ef9a9f95dd114a14345781e04ae2ea02be47cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 49c | 39,608$19,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,605.07 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 19,790$10,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,697.19 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 4,098$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.98 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Under | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 50c | 2,996$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 2,505$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.5 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.94 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,444$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.57 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,318$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.35 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 620$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 499.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.98 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 52c | 444$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 243.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 50c | 179$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 51c | 158.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 50c | 40.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 51c | 38.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 51c | 38.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 55c | 37.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 25.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 25.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 24.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 23.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394d…6d80backed Over | 50c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…36f7backed Over | 50c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…cb02backed Over | 50c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…47b2backed Over | 50c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…43b2backed Over | 50c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ae…7269backed Over | 50c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…fa01backed Over | 50c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…716abacked Over | 50c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…578bbacked Over | 50c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb1…1129backed Over | 50c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. SabresSabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.