Tennis · resolved market
Svajda vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28aef6d415c2ef1a33c00981ae495879ad5a364ad4eb0d0876e260b57fd4520c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over | 48c | 205.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 130.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 47c | 95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 64.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Svajda vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Dallas Open: Zachary Svajda vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaFokina won
- Set 1 Winner: Svajda vs FokinaFokina won
- Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)Fokina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.