NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadcf2e91ef13c59bfe6a93e735ef42c7fb998bfe87c1899f47faa74ae85bc31d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskof Ak Bars Kazan, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 25c | 1,311$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.61 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 23c | 525.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 156$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Ak Bars Kazan | 72c | 151$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 22c | 125.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 71c | 114$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 76c | 91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 28c | 85.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 76c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Ak Bars Kazan | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Ak Bars Kazan | 72c | 75.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 27c | 56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 28c | 47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 24c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 24c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 27c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 28c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 29c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 35.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4de4…1b7ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…ca40backed Ak Bars Kazan | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.