TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Louisiana Tech Bulldogsof Sam Houston Bearkats, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs59c4,790$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.075,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Sam Houston Bearkats40c2,140$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.112,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sam Houston Bearkats40c1,782$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.432,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs58c1,510$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.721,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sam Houston Bearkats39c1,353$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.141,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats47c1,346$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.841,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sam Houston Bearkats38c440.88$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.481,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sam Houston Bearkats38c416.55$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.761,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs54c351.37$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4468254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sam Houston Bearkats46c273.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.871,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs63c249$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2372248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs45c223.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.229525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sam Houston Bearkats60c219.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.023,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Sam Houston Bearkats40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats36c184.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sam Houston Bearkats57c176$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.822,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs49c175.81$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.951,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sam Houston Bearkats37c160.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.422,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs57c156.83$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs34c156.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.31,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs39c155$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.557648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Sam Houston Bearkats66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Sam Houston Bearkats58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9138345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs66c114.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs59c112.38$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7945953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats38c104.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.381,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs38c72.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9818230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sam Houston Bearkats39c60.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.321,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs40c51.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6424340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sam Houston Bearkats60c51.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6415851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3844955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed Sam Houston Bearkats55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs31c49.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.492,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs37c44.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.17656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Sam Houston Bearkats61c32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.523231.3%10 W · 22 L-7.5wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Sam Houston Bearkats65c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1535650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs37c28.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.175637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f2…f1afbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs63c28.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs38c27.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x517e…4fb2backed Sam Houston Bearkats56c27.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.05757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Sam Houston Bearkats61c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.862236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Sam Houston Bearkats40c25.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats61c22.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Sam Houston Bearkats61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.252353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Sam Houston Bearkats61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats62c19.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats61c19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.592770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Sam Houston Bearkats61c19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.593060%18 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats76c17.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.175341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6330945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.