Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Sam Houston Bearkats (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cbd2bdeaf078772fd6940781fe5a5682f451a647c1f1f5ff156c4efff246684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogsof Sam Houston Bearkats, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 53c | 7,549$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 5,040$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 2,504$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 51c | 904.31$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 680$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 48c | 122$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sam Houston Bearkats (-3.5)this page
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech Bulldogs won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 141.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.