NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6e2641ea15f17e40a9c5185343e5de75e8727f4cf04cbc894ec76db2cdb9a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 56c | 20,000$11,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,737.59 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Over | 34c | 11,019$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,272.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 43c | 7,077$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.99 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 55c | 4,156$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 4,012$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 44c | 3,753$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.14 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 1,907$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.98 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 23c | 1,836$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.22 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,548$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 34c | 1,240$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 35c | 958$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.56 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 948.5$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 2c | 805.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 53c | 629.69$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.57 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 343.79$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.02 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 248.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 226.48$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 41c | 183$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Under | 43c | 116.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 45c | 82.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 62c | 49.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 64c | 46.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…bef1backed Under | 80c | 45.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 51c | 40.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…e396backed Under | 49c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed Under | 46c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…69ccbacked Under | 53c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5this page
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. PelicansSuns won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.