South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafe5a6a4f936093c0e00f99e879bf94d63bb1e667bd3e1495f535f8a111fb047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 5,102$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 3,956$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 48c | 571.98$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 346.58$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.58 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 47c | 124$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 106.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 47c | 104$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 42c | 68.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 53.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb371…5faebacked Yes | 48c | 49.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 54c | 48.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 48c | 48.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…119ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…2347backed Yes | 42c | 33.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067a…c92bbacked Yes | 48c | 29.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6049…f047backed No | 53c | 28.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…6ca2backed Yes | 48c | 28.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked No | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked No | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 50c | 25.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed No | 52c | 24.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked No | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed No | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 52c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed No | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed No | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed No | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked No | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked No | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.