South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a2e2fd55e9a4ef2231044a0afe06a3f057f816161588333258876ea799a92d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 1,814$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.27 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 1,681$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.92 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 1,238$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.79 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 946.65$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.13 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 74c | 386.49$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 27c | 182.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 71c | 150.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 17c | 137.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Under | 34c | 89.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 69c | 80.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 27c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 63c | 57.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 32c | 41.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…cc5bbacked Over | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 24.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Over | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked Over | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1c…74a5backed Over | 74c | 23.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…655bbacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 61c | 19.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Over | 70c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5this page
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.