South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedebd738e0a2362c37680b19fe7fac5e32e550109c0f04dc7d8e5996bebc1f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 11,043$8,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 76c | 7,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 26c | 3,449$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.05 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 33c | 3,045$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.85 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 25c | 2,479$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 2,377$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 24c | 1,700$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…582dbacked Over | 24c | 1,559$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 67c | 894.42$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 799.54$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.09 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 69c | 696.98$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Over | 30c | 377.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 322.36$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 299.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked Over | 31c | 243.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 41c | 184$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 66c | 150.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 26c | 137$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…5745backed Over | 28c | 116.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 57c | 114.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 74c | 109.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 25c | 109$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 70c | 104.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 68c | 102.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…be85backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…e009backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Over | 25c | 89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 73.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 27c | 72.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 55c | 62.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Over | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…d362backed Over | 27c | 48.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…04cbbacked Under | 79c | 40.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 30c | 39.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 68c | 35.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 73c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Under | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Under | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Under | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Under | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Under | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Under | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Under | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Under | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 73c | 17.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Under | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5this page
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.