South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62c0c60437298c77e2b8ab562d5bec2ff47dd2db3c3ea760b6337c2de6d325a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,592$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…582dbacked Over | 47c | 2,170$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 73c | 1,800$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.58 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 1,321$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 1,088$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 46c | 873.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 57c | 699.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 47c | 515.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.85 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 27c | 442.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…a122backed Over | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 258.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 39c | 205.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 50c | 201.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 48c | 199.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 193.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Over | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 60c | 128.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 37c | 113.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 56c | 86.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 48c | 82.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 48c | 74.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 53c | 70.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 41c | 63.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 60.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Under | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked Under | 43c | 42.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 46c | 35.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 52c | 30.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 66c | 19.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 62c | 19.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5this page
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.