Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1de18fcdd43b366153d23cab220224ff358e1c58be2773e0c94e65befe20df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,944$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 51c | 2,913$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.34 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 54c | 2,080$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.63 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 527.5$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 48c | 415.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 51c | 329.72$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 40c | 97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 45c | 92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 51.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 47.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Over | 55c | 40.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 37.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 60c | 23.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 135.5this page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet KnightsMichigan State Spartans won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 136.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 137.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-13.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-14.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-15.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.