Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x264614eb398a33bb384ee8c8d1ec30e40465439d5d911ede343fef3d39b78cc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 10,166$5,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,751.69 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 10,001$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 50c | 4,742$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 921.82$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 46c | 461.16$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 438.8$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 50c | 241.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 45c | 129$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 43c | 121$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 95.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 136.5this page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet KnightsMichigan State Spartans won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 135.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 137.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-13.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-14.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-15.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.