Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a67fc098b1c9245b4ed8f5870dd6db1f13165ef3aa3be7776bdc3acd4040478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 434.6$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.29 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 24c | 162$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 25c | 128$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 25c | 98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 25c | 95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 25c | 84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 81.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 24c | 78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 76c | 68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 25c | 67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 75c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 75c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 75c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 25c | 47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 25c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 75c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 45c | 38.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 75c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 77c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 75c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 75c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 75c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 76c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Over | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 76c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 76c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 75c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 76c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Over | 76c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -71%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.