Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f38710175bc0b474ae6c0f924a67e48399d79436070e9bf7b72af47595519b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 75c | 1,458$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.44 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 1,136$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.6 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 810$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.67 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 358.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 49c | 142$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 48c | 139$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 98.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 52c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 33c | 68.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.