Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8dad6d6efc4d8e8dcad4d988aaa6307ca3f277baa9fee2e7cdd060bd273a95a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brisbane Roar FCof Western Sydney Wanderers FC, Brisbane Roar FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 15c | 651.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Brisbane Roar FC | 77c | 143$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Brisbane Roar FC | 78c | 123$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Brisbane Roar FC | 78c | 123$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Brisbane Roar FC | 77c | 122$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Brisbane Roar FC | 78c | 91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Brisbane Roar FC | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 22c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Brisbane Roar FC | 79c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Brisbane Roar FC | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +103%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Brisbane Roar FC | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Brisbane Roar FC | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Brisbane Roar FC | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)this page
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.