Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x090c035a5fe4f1dc6b7f8c4076cb7c64876cad1d30961b0edd55138cebb94239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,885$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 1,360$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 40c | 1,317$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.86 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 62c | 485.25$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.86 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 62c | 467.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.65 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 56c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 295.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 34c | 261.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 6c | 248.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 61c | 169.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 35c | 136$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 35c | 132$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 36c | 104$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 35c | 82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 37c | 74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 20c | 72.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 37c | 58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 65c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over | 64c | 46.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 65c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 65c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 65c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 45c | 34.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 65c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 38c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 62c | 27.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Over | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)FC Twente '65 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.