Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x389bc2fad61b2868a99742f235c095a5c30b9c4395419be8abdc4d4cf1d25e74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Twente '65of FC Twente '65, Go Ahead Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3273…5a11backed FC Twente '65 | 46c | 1,706$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Go Ahead Eagles | 35c | 1,604$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Go Ahead Eagles | 59c | 997.63$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.23 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Go Ahead Eagles | 54c | 484.22$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.68 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Twente '65 | 46c | 321.56$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Twente '65 | 40c | 161.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Go Ahead Eagles | 56c | 107$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 57c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Go Ahead Eagles | 57c | 82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed FC Twente '65 | 64c | 76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Twente '65 | 65c | 73.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Go Ahead Eagles | 49c | 67.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 57c | 63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 57c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Go Ahead Eagles | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed FC Twente '65 | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Go Ahead Eagles | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed FC Twente '65 | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked FC Twente '65 | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked FC Twente '65 | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked FC Twente '65 | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed FC Twente '65 | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked FC Twente '65 | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Go Ahead Eagles | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…ba0cbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed FC Twente '65 | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Go Ahead Eagles | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed FC Twente '65 | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Go Ahead Eagles | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked FC Twente '65 | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked FC Twente '65 | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Go Ahead Eagles | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked FC Twente '65 | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed FC Twente '65 | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Go Ahead Eagles | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed FC Twente '65 | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Go Ahead Eagles | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.