Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeff2049b0880fb9d665e711d2682a4a7fcff93d9bbeaf47f9ea9668470f9f9cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 69c | 2,163$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.05 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 32c | 1,043$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.68 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 849.45$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 60c | 149$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 60c | 119$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 59c | 116$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 58c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 41c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 59c | 76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 61c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 65c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 40c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 47.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…ba0cbacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Over | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)FC Twente '65 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.