Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs Munar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3578875b378bdaaa0a4fba884643c318467438e33fe260fbca77831c4416fc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Munarof Kjaer, Munar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Kjaer | 37c | 137$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Kjaer | 38c | 114$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Kjaer | 36c | 114$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Munar | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Kjaer | 38c | 104$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Kjaer | 37c | 101$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Munar | 72c | 98.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kjaer | 34c | 53.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Munar | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kjaer | 35c | 46.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Munar | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Kjaer | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Munar | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Munar | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…23f3backed Kjaer | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Kjaer | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Munar | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Munar | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Munar | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Munar | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Kjaer | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Munar | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Munar | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Munar | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Munar | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Munar | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Munar | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Munar | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Munar | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Munar | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Munar | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Munar | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…b022backed Munar | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43e6…ac47backed Munar | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked Munar | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x353a…06c5backed Munar | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…0014backed Munar | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef4…409ebacked Munar | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs Munarthis page
- Kjaer vs. Munar: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Kjaer vs. Munar: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kjaer vs. Munar: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Kjaer vs. Munar: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Kjaer vs. Munar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Rotterdam Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jaume MunarMunar won
- Set Handicap: Munar (-1.5) vs Kjaer (+1.5)Munar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.