Tennis · resolved market
Kjaer vs. Munar: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x676e7edc124492db6e56ea101d7654b1a4ea4bdfd62a98e2d7ecf77f0978025f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 41c | 159$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 41c | 144$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 41c | 117$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 41c | 102$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 40c | 97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Under | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Under | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Under | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Under | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Under | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Under | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Under | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Under | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kjaer vs. Munar: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Kjaer vs. Munar: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Kjaer vs. Munar: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kjaer vs. Munar: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Kjaer vs. Munar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Rotterdam Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jaume MunarMunar won
- Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs MunarMunar won
- Set Handicap: Munar (-1.5) vs Kjaer (+1.5)Munar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.