Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ad4069a13df40a8e300c289eb9a59b69330e772690f3954f516f48fba660bb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppersof Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 60c | 2,151$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.02 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 14c | 1,741$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.74 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 45c | 1,164$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.37 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 27c | 1,070$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.86 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 53c | 890.12$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 12c | 847.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 44c | 601.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.79 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 46c | 533.49$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 57c | 487.4$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.72 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 48c | 338.15$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 48c | 321.09$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 37c | 212.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 21c | 208$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 57c | 173.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 58c | 144.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 11c | 115.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 61c | 110.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 26c | 92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 27c | 66.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 52.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 48c | 51.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 38c | 49.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 73c | 43.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 73c | 40.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 73c | 29.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 74c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 74c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersthis page
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: O/U 136.5Under won
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: O/U 137.5Under won
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: O/U 138.5Under won
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.