NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16565c751452402507acc66c67e2aeeada32be4d2d4ed9d45a79c6dd9f220fb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 45c | 3,232$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.33 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 2,923$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.61 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 56c | 2,662$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.25 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Over | 56c | 1,002$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.55 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 55c | 438.75$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 71c | 300$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 28c | 181$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 45c | 161$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 30c | 112.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 103.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 44c | 87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 51.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…bcf2backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…3e1ebacked Over | 56c | 35.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 55c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 23.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5this page
- Canadiens vs. BruinsCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.