Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x994e455f6112501b62b94f98c1e8474dfbb1a41c010cb20751b6e37d3289792b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed No | 47c | 182$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 47c | 156$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 47c | 139$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 47c | 98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Yes | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed No | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Yes | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed No | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Yes | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Yes | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Yes | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Yes | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Yes | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked No | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked No | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Yes | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Yes | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Yes | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Yes | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.