Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x677a7f539e143f95a8325fc6523652e4a615fa19b5ca6b57b78abae0d05e811f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 25c | 359$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 28c | 223$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 220.9$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 108.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 28c | 107$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 28c | 88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Under | 33c | 56.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Over | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.