Lol · resolved market
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x840f356cd5e18725c0d9a781c439f8e5e75d3f384a8d1135239b54443388a42c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof TLN Pirates, Solary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TLN Pirates | 1c | 6,147$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked TLN Pirates | 28c | 1,851$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.19 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Solary | 73c | 1,045$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.15 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed TLN Pirates | 26c | 1,010$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.37 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f674backed Solary | 71c | 728$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed TLN Pirates | 31c | 700$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed TLN Pirates | 29c | 653.16$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.95 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed TLN Pirates | 13c | 589.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked TLN Pirates | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 176 | 6.3%11 W · 165 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked TLN Pirates | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Solary | 70c | 440.39$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TLN Pirates | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Solary | 72c | 405.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed TLN Pirates | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Solary | 80c | 359.22$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TLN Pirates | 21c | 312.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Solary | 76c | 300$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Solary | 74c | 272.14$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TLN Pirates | 28c | 253.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Solary | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Solary | 72c | 186.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked TLN Pirates | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Solary | 70c | 175$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Solary | 79c | 164.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Solary | 78c | 160.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked TLN Pirates | 27c | 149.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed TLN Pirates | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Solary | 73c | 138$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed TLN Pirates | 18c | 113.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked TLN Pirates | 28c | 113$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed TLN Pirates | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Solary | 80c | 94.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Solary | 73c | 91.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed TLN Pirates | 30c | 82.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed TLN Pirates | 14c | 76.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TLN Pirates | 20c | 73.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Solary | 70c | 70.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed TLN Pirates | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Solary | 70c | 55.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…fe81backed Solary | 77c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…9f9cbacked Solary | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…1457backed TLN Pirates | 29c | 49.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Solary | 71c | 47.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…0ae8backed TLN Pirates | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f40ebacked Solary | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked TLN Pirates | 29c | 40.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed TLN Pirates | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…adbdbacked Solary | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…3036backed Solary | 74c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Solary | 71c | 34.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…16c8backed Solary | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…01a1backed Solary | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…58b1backed Solary | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…5548backed Solary | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Solary | 77c | 26.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Solary | 70c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Solary | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Solary | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Solary | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…8591backed Solary | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…32aebacked Solary | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…ffdbbacked Solary | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…beaabacked Solary | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…d26ebacked Solary | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…d748backed Solary | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Solary | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…6c89backed Solary | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…a9fcbacked Solary | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0a…4cfcbacked Solary | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e21…4275backed Solary | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…08fbbacked Solary | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…ad1ebacked Solary | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fed…23e5backed Solary | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…def5backed Solary | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…3c6fbacked Solary | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Solary | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Solary | 78c | 13.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.