Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn Quakers vs. Princeton Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x185b3c3b4d1a3d43686424a9aaf40a343c310386278c52d108d76b25e6e81943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Princeton Tigersof Penn Quakers, Princeton Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Princeton Tigers | 60c | 3,510$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.32 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penn Quakers | 61c | 2,202$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penn Quakers | 60c | 1,807$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.57 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penn Quakers | 39c | 1,741$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.43 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Princeton Tigers | 27c | 1,350$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.5 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Penn Quakers | 39c | 980.68$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.47 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Princeton Tigers | 38c | 944.11$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.1 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Penn Quakers | 8c | 412$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Princeton Tigers | 35c | 389.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Princeton Tigers | 42c | 381.2$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Penn Quakers | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…07a0backed Penn Quakers | 15c | 261.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Princeton Tigers | 46c | 253.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Princeton Tigers | 27c | 250$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Penn Quakers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Penn Quakers | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Princeton Tigers | 32c | 211.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penn Quakers | 26c | 170.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Princeton Tigers | 33c | 151.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penn Quakers | 63c | 125.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Princeton Tigers | 58c | 121$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penn Quakers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Princeton Tigers | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Princeton Tigers | 58c | 83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Princeton Tigers | 47c | 82.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Penn Quakers | 48c | 74.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Princeton Tigers | 49c | 63.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed Penn Quakers | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Princeton Tigers | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Penn Quakers | 43c | 45.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Princeton Tigers | 55c | 44.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Penn Quakers | 63c | 42.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Princeton Tigers | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Penn Quakers | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…d3b3backed Penn Quakers | 75c | 38.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 77cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Princeton Tigers | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Penn Quakers | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa523…d782backed Penn Quakers | 71c | 33.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Princeton Tigers | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Princeton Tigers | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Penn Quakers | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Penn Quakers | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Penn Quakers | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Penn Quakers | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Penn Quakers | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Princeton Tigers | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Penn Quakers | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Princeton Tigers | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn Quakers vs. Princeton Tigersthis page
- Spread: Princeton Tigers (-2.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.