Other European Leagues · resolved market
Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fcc53bba98b4537d6d809674dad83a4642fbc345f5de6a68f0f4c0fde1c8b1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 62c | 2,434$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed No | 8c | 2,274$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,923$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 40c | 1,086$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 38c | 443.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 415.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 62c | 324.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 60c | 197$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 61c | 154$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 60c | 145.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 60c | 141$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 60c | 124$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 62c | 97.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Yes | 60c | 72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 68.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Yes | 60c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 22c | 63.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked No | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed No | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked No | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed No | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed No | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed No | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed No | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…806abacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)Telstar 1963 won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.