Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef67f224b43007da30d4a90195b5892683dd6a035a61888fbd2b81c6157cfdd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Telstar 1963of AFC Ajax, Telstar 1963
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Telstar 1963 | 24c | 9,229$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed AFC Ajax | 29c | 5,779$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked AFC Ajax | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked AFC Ajax | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Telstar 1963 | 68c | 1,463$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Telstar 1963 | 41c | 998.63$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.37 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Telstar 1963 | 72c | 854.79$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.31 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Telstar 1963 | 69c | 735.88$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.09 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked AFC Ajax | 32c | 632.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Telstar 1963 | 68c | 420.95$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked AFC Ajax | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed AFC Ajax | 30c | 316.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked AFC Ajax | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed AFC Ajax | 29c | 164.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked AFC Ajax | 31c | 161.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Telstar 1963 | 70c | 154.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed AFC Ajax | 28c | 121.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked AFC Ajax | 30c | 99.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Telstar 1963 | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Telstar 1963 | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked AFC Ajax | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Telstar 1963 | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…56bebacked AFC Ajax | 75c | 46.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed AFC Ajax | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Telstar 1963 | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…9c06backed AFC Ajax | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed AFC Ajax | 31c | 32.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Telstar 1963 | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Telstar 1963 | 72c | 26.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 24.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Telstar 1963 | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Telstar 1963 | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b3…a7b1backed AFC Ajax | 75c | 19.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Telstar 1963 | 72c | 19.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Telstar 1963 | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdc…acadbacked AFC Ajax | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Telstar 1963 | 72c | 14.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)this page
- Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.