NHL · resolved market
DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Eisbaeren Berlin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860e5a0a364c51ccfedd5d1ed9243144ac7fd2c3ef97a5bf1f67bd278cd1db1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eisbaeren Berlinof Schwenninger Wild Wings, Eisbaeren Berlin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 940.26$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.29 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Schwenninger Wild Wings | 45c | 725$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 49c | 394.08$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 47c | 261.36$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 53c | 225$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 51c | 198$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 136$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Schwenninger Wild Wings | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Schwenninger Wild Wings | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Schwenninger Wild Wings | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 52c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Schwenninger Wild Wings | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.