CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac08d6add3c2aef7d051429b58b35099f4cb5b55bd8929d74102eeabd329c144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x700f…7b54backed Over | 4c | 2,099$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Over | 40c | 285.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 60c | 279$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 51c | 144$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 52c | 86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 47c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Under | 56c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT (BO3)Preasy Mix won
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 WinnerPreasy Mix won
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 WinnerPreasy Mix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.