CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf07b9a4ca94bb1630a831c17c396fa604eb49e62035383385dcf4845262bc825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Preasy Mixof Preasy Mix, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a0…73f7backed Preasy Mix | 4c | 2,800$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,650%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 443$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 214$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Preasy Mix | 79c | 197.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 161$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 113$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked CSDIILIT | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked CSDIILIT | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed CSDIILIT | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 109$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…f4f1backed Preasy Mix | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CSDIILIT | 51c | 42.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked CSDIILIT | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Preasy Mix | 50c | 31.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Preasy Mix | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Preasy Mix | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Preasy Mix | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT (BO3)Preasy Mix won
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 WinnerPreasy Mix won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.