CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4656098c08b41f2e51e791f1950fbca1805a1548577959448210a6fab6c422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Preasy Mixof Preasy Mix, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CSDIILIT | 16c | 908.84$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Preasy Mix | 77c | 540.51$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Preasy Mix | 58c | 309.31$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 295$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Preasy Mix | 76c | 276.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…2575backed CSDIILIT | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 185$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 163$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 148$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed CSDIILIT | 29c | 109.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 103$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed CSDIILIT | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed CSDIILIT | 29c | 85.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Preasy Mix | 64c | 63.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Preasy Mix | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Preasy Mix | 79c | 46.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed Preasy Mix | 50c | 45.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Preasy Mix | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked CSDIILIT | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…6878backed Preasy Mix | 68c | 29.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Preasy Mix | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Preasy Mix | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…10dcbacked CSDIILIT | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT (BO3)Preasy Mix won
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 WinnerPreasy Mix won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.