Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c7ce01203cd37e54488f4077d6cb6135e2549dedd00528d43a10292c0227c1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UTSA Roadrunnersof Seattle Redhawks, UTSA Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbe5…2b7cbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 408.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 44c | 399.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Redhawks | 56c | 349$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 314.29$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 212$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 167$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seattle Redhawks | 55c | 165.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed UTSA Roadrunners | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed UTSA Roadrunners | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Seattle Redhawks | 57c | 92.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Seattle Redhawks | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed UTSA Roadrunners | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Seattle Redhawks | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Seattle Redhawks | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed UTSA Roadrunners | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Seattle Redhawks | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Seattle Redhawks | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Seattle Redhawks | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Seattle Redhawks | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Seattle Redhawks | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Seattle Redhawks | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Seattle Redhawks | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)this page
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA RoadrunnersSeattle Redhawks won
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 142.5Under won
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5Under won
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 144.5Under won
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-7.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.