Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdf46541b3c0e344a2e9b46f6bfdce30c98ee193cacbd58077d1a0a5f8e87f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 477.35$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 46c | 260$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 46c | 225$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 41c | 168$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 41c | 141$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 45c | 119$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 40c | 87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Under | 48c | 74.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 57c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 46c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 46c | 63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Over | 57c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Over | 54c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 41c | 57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 57c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 59c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 142.5this page
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA RoadrunnersSeattle Redhawks won
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5Under won
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 144.5Under won
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-7.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.