Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0916e44eceabf37979850715656bfd162083f533f9504f1909634877deebd583

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,433 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84d7…298fbacked Under	40c	505.38$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.23	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over	60c	395$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237	54	66.7%36 W · 18 L	+8.9wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under	44c	350$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.09	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under	48c	207$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.64	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	60c	177$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.06	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under	45c	114$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.7	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under	48c	110$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.2	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under	48c	101$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.52	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under	44c	92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under	48c	90$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.8	75	53.3%40 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under	48c	88$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.76	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+5.6wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	39c	86$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.46	497	46.5%231 W · 266 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under	43c	83$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.31	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Under	48c	77$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.04	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Over	56c	64$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Over	54c	58$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.28	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under	43c	52$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.64	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Over	56c	48$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Over	55c	46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Under	48c	45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over	53c	45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.72	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed Over	57c	41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.37	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over	53c	41$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.87	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Over	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under	48c	38$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.76	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under	48c	36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-5.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over	53c	35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.68	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked Over	53c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f96…92e0backed Over	52c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over	52c	31$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under	48c	31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.12	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Over	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Over	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over	52c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+5.0wins	+0.22per pick	52cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Over	56c	28$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Over	52c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under	44c	28$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.68	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Over	52c	27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over	57c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Over	54c	26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over	54c	26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over	52c	26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Over	57c	26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Over	57c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Over	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Over	50c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.92	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Over	54c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Over	57c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over	57c	23$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over	52c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Over	57c	22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over	57c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Over	52c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a94…31e6backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc17…53b6backed Over	55c	19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5this page
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA RoadrunnersSeattle Redhawks won
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 142.5Under won
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 144.5Under won
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 145.5Under won
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-7.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)UTSA Roadrunners won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event