Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c2e15fac2a38ff490952ce34fdfde594a1f12f507983af29db6c198921061d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Redhawksof Seattle Redhawks, UTSA Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 9c | 9,799$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.36 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 4,425$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.56 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Seattle Redhawks | 42c | 2,582$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.2 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Redhawks | 40c | 2,555$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Redhawks | 59c | 2,468$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.25 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed UTSA Roadrunners | 5c | 2,254$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 34c | 1,899$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.31 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 1,244$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 4c | 1,108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 912$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UTSA Roadrunners | 6c | 906.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Redhawks | 63c | 727$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.22 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 615.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 576.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed UTSA Roadrunners | 25c | 400.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed UTSA Roadrunners | 3c | 395.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 14c | 391$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed UTSA Roadrunners | 28c | 357.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 8c | 357.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…973ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 79c | 275.95$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 14c | 269.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Redhawks | 62c | 255.25$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 9c | 162.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 117.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UTSA Roadrunners | 22c | 108.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed UTSA Roadrunners | 21c | 103.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked UTSA Roadrunners | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Seattle Redhawks | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…73d7backed Seattle Redhawks | 79c | 81.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Seattle Redhawks | 76c | 69.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UTSA Roadrunners | 22c | 58.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed UTSA Roadrunners | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed UTSA Roadrunners | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Seattle Redhawks | 69c | 42.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Seattle Redhawks | 70c | 40.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Seattle Redhawks | 54c | 33.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…af66backed Seattle Redhawks | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunnersthis page
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 142.5Under won
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5Under won
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 144.5Under won
- Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-7.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.