Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd579befb0e81e73ec5ff3e5b66966591dc718da00871b7e29056ea91aad36c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 7,108$4,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.38 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 42c | 5,417$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.1 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 4,104$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.2 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 39c | 3,696$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.27 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 19c | 2,762$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.38 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 56c | 2,516$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.58 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,362$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.61 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 57c | 1,090$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.65 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 1,083$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.66 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 38c | 776.94$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.77 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed No | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 59c | 535.59$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 54c | 380.27$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 59c | 266.91$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 27c | 199.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 60c | 165.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 58c | 123.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 58c | 112.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 22c | 100.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 61c | 92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 63c | 89.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 64.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 58c | 57.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 52.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…cb27backed Yes | 60c | 51.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Yes | 59c | 50.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Yes | 56c | 44.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked No | 46c | 42.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed No | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…8d58backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…2286backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Yes | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Yes | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Yes | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?No won
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.