Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79bef4509690751fcf780883d0da6df7e0706198da1f485ea4eb60189074eb66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 76c | 2,988$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.19 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,222$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 434$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 280$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 262.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 155.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 133.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 22c | 121$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 22c | 96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Yes | 27c | 54.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 78c | 38.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked No | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-11?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.