Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa276bca66ad07f9af2d968d48622969349bd07a4b6919acbb58a32edfbc2eaa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphis Tigersof Memphis Tigers, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Memphis Tigers | 53c | 334.43$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Memphis Tigers | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 145.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Charlotte 49ers | 46c | 140.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 46c | 119$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Charlotte 49ers | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Memphis Tigers | 51c | 67.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Charlotte 49ers | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Memphis Tigers | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…d33fbacked Memphis Tigers | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Memphis Tigers | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Charlotte 49ers | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Memphis Tigers | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Memphis Tigers | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Memphis Tigers | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Memphis Tigers | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Memphis Tigers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-8.5)this page
- Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis TigersMemphis Tigers won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 144.5Under won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-9.5)Memphis Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.