Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x419e12bc8b54e610c9fc97630a9510924108829edde6fbb94589250dee04cbee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphis Tigersof Charlotte 49ers, Memphis Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Charlotte 49ers | 23c | 3,210$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Memphis Tigers | 80c | 1,780$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.99 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Memphis Tigers | 76c | 646.14$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Memphis Tigers | 80c | 564$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlotte 49ers | 6c | 543.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Charlotte 49ers | 6c | 543$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Charlotte 49ers | 20c | 509.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…06c0backed Charlotte 49ers | 21c | 466.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 21c | 357.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Memphis Tigers | 79c | 355.78$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Charlotte 49ers | 15c | 347.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Memphis Tigers | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6900…9a4bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…e09dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Memphis Tigers | 78c | 189$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 19c | 155.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Charlotte 49ers | 21c | 154.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Charlotte 49ers | 22c | 112.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Charlotte 49ers | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…6479backed Memphis Tigers | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…5995backed Memphis Tigers | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b00…4c7dbacked Memphis Tigers | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…735dbacked Memphis Tigers | 78c | 99.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Charlotte 49ers | 20c | 99.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Memphis Tigers | 77c | 90.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Memphis Tigers | 79c | 76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Charlotte 49ers | 22c | 73.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…1d58backed Charlotte 49ers | 22c | 66.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Memphis Tigers | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Memphis Tigers | 72c | 60.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Charlotte 49ers | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Memphis Tigers | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Charlotte 49ers | 21c | 49.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked Memphis Tigers | 80c | 46.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Charlotte 49ers | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Memphis Tigers | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…b0e7backed Memphis Tigers | 79c | 23.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…8836backed Memphis Tigers | 79c | 21.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Memphis Tigers | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Memphis Tigers | 68c | 20.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…8d2ebacked Memphis Tigers | 79c | 20.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…afbabacked Memphis Tigers | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Memphis Tigers | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis Tigersthis page
- Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 144.5Under won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-8.5)Memphis Tigers won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-9.5)Memphis Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.