Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14eb5c90348b2224d52d46d2ff07070558dc996a088e811cb35458ceceff746e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphis Tigersof Memphis Tigers, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Memphis Tigers | 49c | 314.94$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 288.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Memphis Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Charlotte 49ers | 50c | 195.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Memphis Tigers | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Charlotte 49ers | 48c | 113$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Memphis Tigers | 53c | 37.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Charlotte 49ers | 54c | 37.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Memphis Tigers | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Memphis Tigers | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Charlotte 49ers | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 32.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Memphis Tigers | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Charlotte 49ers | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Memphis Tigers | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +6.8wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Charlotte 49ers | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Memphis Tigers | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-9.5)this page
- Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis TigersMemphis Tigers won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 144.5Under won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-8.5)Memphis Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.