TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Severstal Cherepovets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, Severstal Cherepovets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee39…59bfbacked Severstal Cherepovets54c369.12$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.271241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick63cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.849249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Severstal Cherepovets51c164$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.644454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Severstal Cherepovets52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.85255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Severstal Cherepovets50c144$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.582951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Severstal Cherepovets46c131.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014844.6%66 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Severstal Cherepovets52c128$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.564643.5%20 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Severstal Cherepovets51c127$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.774240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Severstal Cherepovets51c117$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.675453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Severstal Cherepovets51c116$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.163652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Severstal Cherepovets52c114$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.282948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Severstal Cherepovets51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.023046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Severstal Cherepovets51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.024860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Severstal Cherepovets51c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.492755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Severstal Cherepovets51c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.474052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Severstal Cherepovets51c93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.432334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-35%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Severstal Cherepovets51c93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.433243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Severstal Cherepovets51c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.314557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Severstal Cherepovets51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.83250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Severstal Cherepovets51c76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.762236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Severstal Cherepovets52c72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.443354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3359950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Severstal Cherepovets51c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.644450%22 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…c7febacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa54c60.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.932157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.031650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Severstal Cherepovets51c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.522466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.521758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Severstal Cherepovets51c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.014050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa48c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.522040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11a4…bbe8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc879…30a4backed Severstal Cherepovets55c49.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.464445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.482254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.952142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Severstal Cherepovets51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.952948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.255048.2%265 W · 285 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Severstal Cherepovets51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.442171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.113354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.932070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Severstal Cherepovets51c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.914148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Severstal Cherepovets52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.891637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1315…d32ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa48c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ec…06aabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.381030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.382065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e8…441fbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.841844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.721353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Severstal Cherepovets51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.362245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.622060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa44c35.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7753337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.852045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Severstal Cherepovets51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.346165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.531662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1627851.1%142 W · 136 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.041758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Severstal Cherepovets51c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.813141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb717…a67fbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Severstal Cherepovets51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.794557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792544%11 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa48c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.771752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.771181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+42.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa48c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.043754.1%20 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.352552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Severstal Cherepovets51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.264746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.752433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd512…91eebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.752240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Severstal Cherepovets51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.752548%12 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.732157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…9f5abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa48c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.962157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa48c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.962240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.732259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Severstal Cherepovets51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.222356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a94…31e6backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.713154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Severstal Cherepovets51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Severstal Cherepovets52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.